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SENAPATHI Report

Exercise watch

Indo-Pacific Exercise Season 2026

High activity

RIMPAC wrapped 31 July as Pitch Black runs to 7 August and Han Kuang No. 42 opens 5 August; China answered a US-Japan-Philippines exercise off Luzon with its first AFP-verified combat drill package at Scarborough Shoal, including missile-armed H-6K bombers. Mid-August imagery shows China has finished the first stage of a ~1,460–1,490-acre artificial island at Antelope Reef in the Paracels — its first new South China Sea island in about a decade — with 4,300 ft of runway earthworks that analysts assess could reach 9,000–10,000 ft, giving the PLA a second full-length Paracels airstrip astride sea lanes India's trade and navy use.

The 2026 Indo-Pacific exercise season is at peak tempo: RIMPAC 2026, the world's largest naval exercise, is underway around Hawaii with 30 nations and roughly 30,000 personnel — India among them with a P-8I — days after the US and partners wrapped Valiant Shield 2026 in the Marianas with a live-fire sinking of USS Juneau. Taiwan is running an April-to-August whole-of-society resilience programme, including a rare Nantou drill pairing a Chinese blockade with an earthquake, ahead of its Han Kuang No. 42 war games from 5 August, while the IAF sends Rafales to Australia's 19-nation Pitch Black from 20 July.

Updated 19 Aug 2026 · updates logged below as they happen

Changelog

What's happened

  1. Satellite imagery published 19 August shows China has completed the first stage of construction at Antelope Reef in the Paracels — an artificial island of roughly 1,490 acres with a dredged lagoon harbour, piers, a helipad and buildings in place, and a runway assessed as potentially reaching 9,000 feet.

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  2. CSIS AMTI reports that eight months after dredging began, the finalised landmass at Antelope Reef measures 1,458 acres with no dredgers in sight, and that 4,300 feet of 180-foot-wide runway earthworks — matching China's Spratly and Woody Island runways — are aligned for an eventual 10,000-foot strip, alongside 200x200-foot hangar-scale foundations and two concrete plants.

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  3. China Coast Guard cutter 1306, patrolling since 4 August the area where Japanese and Philippine maritime claims overlap, is joined by survey ship Xiang Yang Hong 3, after Beijing declared Japan-Philippines boundary-delimitation talks 'illegal, null, and void'.

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  4. PLA Southern Theater Command holds joint naval-air drills at Scarborough Shoal on 31 July – 1 August with five warships, an amphibious group and H-6K bombers carrying YJ-12 anti-ship missiles — confirmed by the AFP on 5 August as the first Chinese combat drill package it has verified at the feature.

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  5. The 17th Multilateral Maritime Cooperative Activity — five days of US-Japan-Philippines drills in waters west of Zambales, near Scarborough Shoal — concludes, with Chinese ships firing water cannon at Philippine government vessels on two consecutive days during the exercise.

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  6. Indian Navy P-8I maritime patrol aircraft arrives in Hawaii for RIMPAC 2026, slated for surveillance and anti-submarine warfare drills with 29 partner navies.

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  7. Taiwan's Nantou county completes a rare two-day unscripted drill combining a Chinese naval blockade, major earthquake, hijacked broadcasts, sabotage and a bank run, with 370+ officials taking part.

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  8. Valiant Shield 2026 concludes after 10 days of multi-domain training including anti-submarine warfare, drone testing and a multinational maritime strike with Australia, Japan, Canada and New Zealand.

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  9. US, allied and partner forces sink the decommissioned USS Juneau (LPD 10) in a live-fire SINKEX 200+ nm off Guam, with a Japanese submarine delivering a torpedo strike.

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  10. RIMPAC 2026, the 30th edition of the world's largest maritime exercise, opens in Hawaii with 30 nations, 30+ ships, 5 submarines and about 30,000 personnel.

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  11. Exercise Valiant Shield 2026 begins across Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands and Japan, integrating US joint forces with allied militaries in its second multilateral iteration.

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  12. Taiwan's military confirms Han Kuang Exercise No. 42 will start on 5 August, preceded by a 23 June combat-readiness drill and a week-long joint defence exercise from 13 July.

    source ↗

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