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Squadron arithmetic worsening while fighter programmes fight engine and technology-transfer bottlenecks — nearly 30 engineless Tejas Mk1A airframes now ride on GE's promised 20 F404s by December; missiles, military space and layered air defence remain the momentum stories: Project Kusha flew for the first time on 23 July, AEW&C Mk-II moved to signed contracts with AIESL and Adani Defence on 22 July, and the 2018 S-400 contract is reportedly closing in November.

Standing watch on India's aerospace power: the IAF is holding at roughly 29 fighter squadrons against a sanctioned 42 — a six-decade low after the MiG-21's September 2025 retirement — while every recapitalisation track fights its own battle. Tejas Mk1A deliveries remain hostage to GE F404 engine supply, the 114-jet MRFA/Rafale buy is stalled on source-code and ICD access, and AMCA's engine tracks are split between a tripled F414 quote and a Safran–Rolls-Royce co-development contest. The missile and space legs are moving faster: a second Agni-5 MIRV test in May 2026, a Mach-8 ET-LDHCM hypersonic test under Project Vishnu, the ₹26,968-crore 52-satellite SBS-3 constellation under the Defence Space Agency, and an air-defence build-out spanning the fourth S-400 squadron, a cleared follow-on S-400 order and Project Kusha.

Updated 23 Jul 2026 · updates logged below as they happen

Changelog

What's happened

  1. DRDO conducts the maiden flight test of the Project Kusha long-range surface-to-air missile from Dr APJ Abdul Kalam Island, intercepting an electronic target simulating a high-speed, high-altitude aircraft — the first flying hardware for India's indigenous S-400-class system, with the missile, radars and command-and-control centre all developed by DRDO labs with Indian industry.

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  2. DRDO signs the AEW&C Mk-II (Netra Mk2) contracts: AIESL will convert six Airbus A321s to green configuration and Adani Defence becomes Development-cum-Production Partner for the mission systems — reportedly the first private Indian firm entrusted with an airborne mission platform of this complexity — with induction planned for 2032-33 and logistics support running up to 30 years.

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  3. A single-source report says the fifth and final S-400 squadron will arrive in November 2026, which would close out the $5.43-billion five-squadron contract signed with Russia in October 2018 after years of Ukraine-war delivery delays; neither government has confirmed the date.

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  4. GE Aerospace hands over the seventh F404-IN20 engine to HAL — the first since 2 April — while close to 30 completed Tejas Mk1A airframes wait for powerplants; GE's promised batch of 20 engines by December 2026 is now the pacing item for first IAF deliveries by late 2026.

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  5. Ten Indian firms submit bids for the IAF's 87-UAV tender worth over ₹30,000 crore — one of India's largest unmanned-systems competitions and a bellwether for the private drone industrial base.

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  6. DAC clears capital acquisition proposals worth about ₹52,000 crore with a counter-drone and layered air-defence tilt — including MRSAM, VSHORADS, the 'Akash Tarang' anti-UAV system and a fixed-wing High Altitude Pseudo Satellite for the IAF.

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  7. Safran and Rolls-Royce submit final competing offers to co-develop the AMCA Mk2 engine, each pledging 100% technology transfer — the decision that will determine whether India closes its fighter-engine design gap.

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  8. GE's reported ~300% price increase on the F414 stalls engine talks for AMCA prototypes and clouds Tejas Mk2 timelines, reviving the debate over dependence on American fighter engines.

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  9. A delivered GE F404 engine develops a snag and another fails acceptance parameters with just 6 of 99 engines received; MoD orders a comprehensive September review of the Tejas Mk1A programme, now over two years behind schedule.

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  10. Modi-Macron talks in Nice leave the 114-jet MRFA/Rafale deal unresolved: India's Letter of Request went to France in late May, but access to source code and the Interface Control Document — needed to integrate Indian weapons independently — remains the sticking point.

    source ↗

  11. The fourth S-400 'Sudarshan' squadron arrives in India after prolonged delivery delays, with the fifth and final squadron under the 2018 contract expected by end-2026; the DAC cleared five follow-on squadrons in March.

    source ↗

  12. India conducts its second acknowledged MIRV flight test of an advanced Agni-5 from Dr APJ Abdul Kalam Island, deploying multiple independently targetable re-entry vehicles across separated impact zones.

    source ↗

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